农户参与乡村旅游扶贫的影响因素研究——以福建省赤溪村为例

以福建省赤溪村农户为调研对象,运用相关性检验和二元Logistic回归模型对影响农户参与乡村旅游扶贫的因素进行研究。研究发现:农户参与乡村旅游扶贫的比例较高,但是旅游经营的项目单一;农户的学历、劳动力数量、地理位置、参与乡村旅游扶贫培训的次数对农户参与乡村旅游有显著地正向影响作用;农户生计资本和对旅游发展的感知中的权力关系、可借款能力、家庭年收入、了解乡村旅游扶贫政策、有资源用于发展乡村旅游也是影响农户参与的主要因素。在此基础上,提出了加大扶贫政策宣传力度,提高旅游扶贫政策利用程度完善旅游相关基础设施,扩大农户扶贫资金来源渠道,完善扶贫资金体系,完善旅游供给侧创新旅游经营模式,实行多项扶持的针对性建议。     

上海市大力发展农村金融服务的SWOT分析

运用SWOT方法对上海市大力发展农村金融服务进行分析。分析结果可知上海在大力发展农村金融服务时存在政策、地理位置优势;但在法律和农户金融意识方面存在劣势;此外,上海市既面临"互联网+"与金融合作、潜在需求大的机遇,也面临违约和诈骗风险的威胁。     

乡村旅游景点自营电子商务平台的市场推广路径研究--以南京市为例

以南京市景点自营电子商务平台为研究对象,调查发现南京市景点自营电子商务平台存在着知名度不高、使用频率低等问题,导致这些问题主要原因是景点自营电子商务平台产品单一、市场推广渠道受限。提出了景点自营电子商务平台借助政府公信力完善信息资源体系、加强第三方平台合作、丰富平台特色产品等市场渠道拓展战略。     

RETURNS TO DEBT AND EQUITY IN FARM PRODUCER ORGANIZATIONS

While the capital structure irrelevance proposition is the point of departure in corporate finance, it is unknown if debt‐or‐equity decisions matter to farm producer organizations. To inform decisions of capital acquisition, a panel study is conducted to estimate the relationships of different types of debt (current, long‐term) and equity (allocated, unallocated) to the financial performance of 707 farm producer organizations in the United States during the 2005–2011 period. Using 3,120 observations, the panel analysis indicates net sales in period t is increased by $1.97, $9.59, and $4.01 with an addition of $1 in current debt, allocated equity, or unallocated equity in period t_‐1. Furthermore, the magnitude of the positive relationship of an additional dollar of allocated (unallocated) equity to net income is estimated at $0.32 ($0.14). We thus reject the notion managers and directors of farm producer organizations should decide to use debt or equity with a coin toss.     

Underperformance of Actively Managed Portfolios: Some Behavioral Insights

Abstract

Two glaring anomalies in investment management are apparent: (1) after fees, active portfolio managers do worse than market indices, and (2) clients continue to pay for services they don’t receive. The purpose of this paper is to offer explanations of these anomalies from a behavioral perspective. We explore some of the cognitive biases that perpetuate active management and subsequent underperformance, including herding, disposition, and endowment effects, as well as conservatism and status quo biases, overconfidence, and agency problems. Investors’ continued use of active managers despite persistent disappointing returns is attributed to being victims of framing effect, hot-hand fallacy, lack of knowledge as well as intimidation or insecurity, and status quo bias. We propose some ways that portfolio managers and investors could improve their decision making.     

自治、博弈与激励:我国农村人居环境污染治理的制度安排

基于中央政府、地方政府及农民的互动视角,采用博弈分析方法,系统考察了我国农村人居环境污染的逻辑机制。研究发现:我国农村人居环境污染的根源在于规制失灵;农村人居环境公共资源的“公地悲剧”不是必然现象,可以在农民之间建立一种自实施的自治机制,避免导致“公地悲剧”;由于利益目标的差异,中央政府与地方政府之间的激励问题、地方政府与农户之间的博弈行为,导致了农村人居环境规制失灵。研究启示是,制度的建立健全是农村人居环境治理顺利推进的保障,更将有利于乡村振兴战略的实施以及我国农村的可持续发展。     

基于业财融合的铁路运输企业全面预算管理体系研究

随着铁路运输企业不断深化改革和转型升级,作为企业财务管理有效工具之一的全面预算管理也应适应经济发展而不断优化。以业财融合为出发点,结合我国铁路运输企业的经营业务和预算管理的研究现状,对预算管理指标体系进行了总体分析及结构设计,构建了“国铁集团—路局—基层站段”三级次的预算指标模型,并设计了国铁集团到路局层面以及路局到站段层面的闭环式预算编制流程,健全和完善了相应的预算管理流程和责任分工。     

Fiscal rule compliance,poverty and social exclusion in the Eurozone

This paper develops a simple model of the effects of fiscal adjustments on poverty. Our theory suggests that in richer countries the effects of fiscal adjustment are stronger the more complex is the poverty measure. By examining a panel of 16 EU countries in the period 2005–2015, the paper finds that structural public balance adjustments may harm the welfare of poorer individuals. The empirical estimation hinges on a comprehensive index of poverty and social exclusion, the AROPE index. The results suggest that rigid fiscal rules require specific alternative policies to sustain the welfare of poorer individuals during downturns.     

乡村振兴背景下农村电商直播助力产业发展策略研究

农村电商直播在推动农业产业升级和乡村振兴等方面创造了巨大的经济社会效益。通过农村电商直播,农产品的销售渠道得以拓宽,农民的就业岗位得以增加,农村电商直播为乡村振兴背景下的农村发展带来了新希望。然而作为新兴事物,农村电商直播在产品生产端和直播平台端都存在一些亟待解决的问题,如农产品电商直播基础服务不完善,农产品品牌效应弱,农村电商直播评价反馈体系不完善等。因此,针对乡村振兴背景下农村电商直播助力产业发展问题进行探讨并提出解决方案,具有现实意义。     

基于主体功能定位的湖北省县域乡村性空间分异研究

[目的]确立与主体功能区定位相协调的乡村发展类型与乡村政策,是促进城乡融合、乡村振兴的重要措施。[方法]以湖北省县域为空间单元,构建乡村性评价指标体系,并基于三次产业的产值结构,划分县域的乡村发展类型。[结果](1)2016年湖北省县域乡村性指数相对较高,乡村性呈现出东低西高的空间分布格局。乡村发展类型可划分为农业主导型、工业主导型、商旅服务型和均衡发展型,分别占县域总数的25.29%、16.1%、10.71%和48.28%。(2)重点开发区的乡村类型以工业主导型和商旅服务型为主,乡村类型主要是城镇化和工业化带动,市场、资本推动力和农民的自主选择突出;农产品主产区和重点生态功能区的乡村类型均以农业主导型和均衡发展型为主,不同的是农产品主产区的农业自然和生产条件优越、农耕文化根植,农业政策扶植,乡村类型是由农业现代化和产业化推动;重点生态功能区乡村类型受资源环境约束、经济基础及行政干预的推动。[结论]三大主体功能区下的乡村类型及驱动机制存在差异,并提出不同乡村振兴发展的政策建议。